2026 California gubernatorial election
November 3, 2026
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The 2026 California gubernatorial election will take place in the US state on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of California. The nonpartisan top-two primary election will take place on June 2, 2026. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom is term-limited and ineligible for election to a third term.
Over two dozen candidates have declared campaigns. Republicans have not won a statewide race in California since 2006 and have not held statewide office since 2011. While California is one of the most Democratic states in the nation, commentators have noted that its unique nonpartisan primary system has the potential to advance two Republicans to the general election due to the highly fragmented Democratic field.[1]
Candidates
Democratic Party
Declared
- Ethan Agarwal, tech entrepreneur[2]
- Xavier Becerra, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services (2021–2025) and former attorney general of California (2017–2021)[3]
- Carolina Buhler, UCLA student[4]
- Ian Calderon, former majority leader of the California Assembly (2016–2020) from the 57th district (2012–2020)[5]
- Derek Grasty, San José school district trustee (2024–present)[6]
- Zoltan Istvan, founder of the Transhumanist Party, Libertarian candidate for governor in 2018, and Republican candidate for president in 2020[7]
- Matt Mahan, mayor of San Jose (2023–present)[8]
- Thunder Parley, software engineer[9]
- Katie Porter, former U.S. representative from California's 47th congressional district (2019–2025) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2024[10]
- Raji Rab, pilot and perennial candidate[11]
- George Slivka, activist[12]
- Tom Steyer, founder of Farallon Capital and candidate for president in 2020[13]
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. representative from California's 14th congressional district (2013–present) and candidate for president in 2020[14]
- Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction (2019–present)[15]
- Antonio Villaraigosa, former mayor of Los Angeles (2005–2013) and candidate for governor in 2018[16]
- Betty Yee, California Democratic Party vice chair (2021–present) and former California State Controller (2015–2023)[17]
Withdrawn
- Toni Atkins, former president pro tempore of the California State Senate (2018–2024) from the 39th district (2016–2024) and former speaker of the California State Assembly (2012–2016) from the 78th district (2010–2016)[18]
- Stephen Cloobeck, founder of Diamond Resorts (endorsed Swalwell)[19][20]
- Eleni Kounalakis, lieutenant governor of California (2019–present) (running for state treasurer)[21]
- Fiona Ma, California state treasurer (2019–present) (running for lieutenant governor)[17]
- Michael Younger, vice president of Calbright College (2021–present) and former deputy secretary of the California Labor and Workforce Development Agency (2019–2021)[11]
Declined
- Rob Bonta, California Attorney General (2021–present) (running for re-election)[22][23][24][25]
- Laphonza Butler, former U.S. senator (2023–2024)[26]
- Rick Caruso, founder of Caruso and runner-up for mayor of Los Angeles in 2022[27] (endorsed Mahan)[28]
- Kamala Harris, former vice president of the United States (2021–2025), former U.S. senator (2017–2021), and nominee for president in 2024[29]
- Alex Padilla, U.S. senator (2021–present)[30]
- Adam Schiff, U.S. senator (2024–present)[31] (endorsed Swalwell)[32]
- Buffy Wicks, state assemblymember from the 14th district (2018–present)[33]
Republican Party
Declared
- Ché Ahn, pastor[34]
- Chad Bianco, Riverside County Sheriff-Coroner (2019–present)[35]
- Sophia Brink, legislative aide to San Mateo County supervisor David Canepa[36]
- Steve Hilton, political commentator and former adviser to UK prime minister David Cameron (2010–2012)[37]
- Brandon Jones, marketing agency founder[38]
- Daniel Mercuri, author, candidate for governor in 2021 and 2022, and candidate for California's 25th congressional district in 2020[39]
- Jimmy Parker, former judge[40]
- Jon Slavet, tech entrepreneur[41]
- Leo Zacky, vice president of Zacky Farms and candidate for governor in 2021 and 2022[40]
Withdrawn
- Kyle Langford, construction manager (running for CA-26 as a Democrat)[42]
- David Serpa, real estate business owner and runner-up for California's 39th congressional district in 2024[43]
Declined
- Mel Gibson, special ambassador to Hollywood (2025–present), actor, and filmmaker[44]
- Richard Grenell, special presidential envoy for special missions (2025–present) and executive director of the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts (2025–present)[45]
- Kevin McCarthy, former speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives (2023) from California's 20th congressional district (2007–2023)[46]
Green Party
Declared
- Butch Ware, associate professor and nominee for vice president in 2024[47]
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Nicholas Thompson, college student[11]
Declined
- Art Olivier, former mayor of Bellflower[48]
Peace and Freedom Party
Declared
No party preference
Declared
- Javen Allen, actor[50][b]
- Leonard Jackson, shipping company CEO[52]
- Ryan Tillman, police officer[53]
- David Thelen, blogger[53]
Declined
- Nicole Shanahan, attorney and running mate of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the 2024 presidential election[54]
Primary election
Endorsements
- U.S. representatives
- Salud Carbajal, CA-24 (2017–present)[45]
- Tony Cárdenas, former CA-29 (2013–2025)[57]
- Gil Cisneros, CA-31 (2025–present) and former CA-39 (2019–2021)[57]
- Raul Ruiz, CA-25 (2013–present) (co-endorsement with Swalwell)[58]
- State legislators
- Joaquin Arambula, AD-31 (2016–present)[57]
- Bob Archuleta, SD-30 (2018–present) (co-endorsement with Villaraigosa; previously endorsed Atkins)[57]
- Juan Carrillo, AD-39 (2022–present)[57]
- Sabrina Cervantes, SD-31 (2024–present)[57]
- Melissa Hurtado, SD-16 (2018–present)[57]
- Eloise Reyes, SD-29 (2024–present)[57]
- Jerry McNerney, SD-05 (2024–present) and former CA-09 (2007–2023)[57]
- Sharon Quirk-Silva, AD-67 (2022–present) and former AD-65 (2012–2014, 2016–2022)[57]
- Local officials
- Sukhee Kang, former mayor of Irvine (2008–2012)[57]
- Labor unions
- California Faculty Association (co-endorsement with Thurmond)[57]
- California State Council of Laborers[59]
- Laborers' International Union of North America[57]
- Executive branch officials
- Bill Essayli, First Assistant United States Attorney for the Central District of California (2025–present)[60]
- U.S. representatives
- Mary Bono, former CA-45 (1998–2013)[61]
- Ken Calvert, CA-41 (1993–present)[62]
- Darrell Issa, CA-48 (2023–present), CA-50 (2021–2023)[60]
- State legislators
- Dennis Hollingsworth, former SD-36 (2002–2010)[63]
- Kelly Seyarto, SD-32 (2022–present)[61]
- Scott Wilk, former SD-21 (2016–2024)[60]
- Juan Alanis, AD-22 (2022–present)[64]
- Leticia Castillo, AD-58 (2024–present) [61]
- Phillip Chen, AD-39 (2016–present)[60]
- Jordan Cunningham, former AD-35 (2016–2022)[60]
- Laurie Davies, AD-74 (2020–present)[61]
- Diane Dixon, AD-72 (2022–present)[60]
- Heath Flora, minority leader of the California Assembly (2025–present) from AD-09 (2022–present) and AD-12 (2016–2022)[60]
- Heather Hadwick, AD-01 (2024–present)[61]
- Tom Lackey, AD-34 (2022–present)[60]
- Joe Patterson, AD-05 (2022–present)[60]
- Kate Sanchez, AD-71 (2022–present)[60]
- Tri Ta, AD-70 (2022–present)[61]
- Greg Wallis, AD-47 (2022–present)[60]
- Devon Mathis, former AD-26 (2014–2022) and AD-33 (2022–2024)[60]
- Local officials
- Don Barnes, Orange County Sheriff-Coroner (2019–present)[63]
- Curt Hagman, San Bernardino County supervisor from the 4th district (2014–present)[61]
- Paul Miyamoto, San Francisco Sheriff (2020–present) (Democratic)[65]
- Individuals
- Lorenzo Lamas, actor and producer[66]
- Royce Gracie, professional MMA fighter[66]
- Dan Henderson, professional MMA fighter and wrestler[66]
- Jeremy McGrath, professional motocross and supercross racer[67]
- Tito Ortiz, former professional MMA fighter[57]
- Executive branch officials
- Jon Voight, Special Ambassador to Hollywood (2025–present)[68]
- U.S. representatives
- Tom McClintock, CA-05 (2009–present)[69]
- Kevin Kiley, CA-03 (2023–present)[70]
- State legislators
- Gloria Romero, former majority leader of the California Senate (2005–2008) from SD-24 (2001–2010) (candidate's running mate)[c][57]
- Tony Strickland, SD-36 (2008–2012, 2025–present)[57]
- Individuals
- Lanhee Chen, member of the Amtrak Board of Directors (2024–present) (candidate's policy advisor)[57]
- Charlie Kirk, founder of Turning Point USA (deceased)[70]
- Phil Mickelson, professional golfer[71]
- Spencer Pratt, reality TV star[57]
- Vivek Ramaswamy, entrepreneur and Ohio gubernatorial candidate[70]
- Political parties
- U.S. Transhumanist Party (founded by candidate)[72]
- U.S. representatives
- Sam Liccardo, CA-16 (2025–present)[73]
- State legislators
- Catherine Blakespear, SD-38 (2022–present)[74]
- Maggy Krell, AD-06 (2024–present)[74]
- County officials
- Matt Dorsey, San Francisco supervisor from the 6th district (2022–present)[75]
- Joel Engardio, former San Francisco supervisor from the 4th district (2023–2025)[57]
- Individuals
- Rick Caruso, founder of Caruso and runner-up for mayor of Los Angeles in 2022[28]
- U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts (2013–present)[76]
- U.S. representatives
- Labor unions
- Amalgamated Transit Union[79]
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers Western States Council[80]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 441[57]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters California[81]
- National Union of Healthcare Workers[82]
- United Auto Workers Region 6[83][84]
- Organizations
- Executive branch officials
- John Podesta, former Senior Advisor to the President for International Climate Policy (2024–2025)[89]
- Ali Zaidi, former White House National Climate Advisor (2022–2025)[89]
- U.S. representatives
- State legislators
- Isaac Bryan, former majority leader of the California Assembly (2023) from AD-55 (2021–present)[91]
- Gregg Hart, AD-37 (2022–present)[74]
- Alex Lee, AD-24 (2020–present)[92]
- Ash Kalra, AD-25 (2016–present)[28]
- Henry Stern, SD-27 (2016–present)[93]
- Rick Zbur, AD-51 (2022–present)[94]
- Individuals
- Michael Brune, former executive director of the Sierra Club[89]
- Bill McKibben, environmentalist[89]
- Labor unions
- U.S. senators
- Adam Schiff, California (2025–present)[32]
- U.S. representatives
- Nanette Barragán, CA-44 (2017–present)[97]
- Adam Gray, CA-13 (2025–present)[98]
- Jimmy Gomez, CA-34 (2017–present)[99]
- Ted Lieu, CA-36 (2015–present)
- Doris Matsui, CA-07 (2005–present)[57]
- Kevin Mullin, CA-15 (2023–present)[99]
- Jimmy Panetta, CA-19 (2017–present)[99]
- Raul Ruiz, CA-25 (2013–present) (co-endorsement with Becerra)[57]
- Mike Thompson, CA-04 (1999–present)[99]
- State legislators
- Patrick Ahrens, AD-26 (2024–present)[92]
- Nick Schultz, AD-44 (2024–present)[57]
- Individuals
- Stephen Cloobeck, businessman and former candidate for governor[19]
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- U.S. representatives
- Laura Friedman, CA-30 (2025–present)[102]
- State legislators
Ian Calderon, former majority leader of the California Assembly (2016–2020) from AD-57 (2012–2020)(entered race in September 2025)[103]- Sabrina Cervantes, SD-31 (2024–present)[104]
- Anamarie Avila Farias, AD-15 (2024–present)[105]
- Jackie Goldberg, former AD-45 (2000–2006)[104]
- LaShae Sharp-Collins, AD-79 (2024–present)[105]
- Akilah Weber, SD-39 (2024–present)[105]
- Local officials
- Barbara Lee, mayor of Oakland (2025–present)[106]
- Labor union
- California Faculty Association (co-endorsement with Becerra)[107]
- Organizations
- U.S. senators
- Barbara Boxer, former U.S. senator from California (1993–2017) (campaign co-chair)[109]
- U.S. representatives
- Lucille Roybal-Allard, former CA-40 (1993–2023)[57]
- Diane Watson, former CA-33 (2001–2011)[57]
- Statewide officials
- Cruz Bustamante, former lieutenant governor of California (1999–2007)[57]
- State legislators
- Bob Archuleta, SD-32 (2018–present) (co-endorsement with Becerra; previously endorsed Atkins)[57]
- Wendy Carrillo, former AD-52 (2017–2024)[57]
- María Elena Durazo, SD-26 (2018–present)[57]
- Dean Florez, former SD-16 (2002–2010)[57]
- Tina McKinnor, AD-61 (2022–present)[57]
- Fabian Núñez, former Speaker of the California State Assembly (2004–2008) from AD-46 (2002–2008)[57]
- John Pérez, former Speaker of the California State Assembly (2010–2014) from AD-53 (2008–2014)[57]
- Esmeralda Soria, AD-27 (2022–present)[57]
- Art Torres, former SD-24 (1982–1994)[57]
- Local officials
- Ashleigh Aitken, mayor of Anaheim (2022–present)[57]
- Karen Bass, mayor of Los Angeles (2022–present)[110]
- Bob Blumenfield, Los Angeles city councilmember from the 3rd district (2013–present)[57]
- James T. Butts Jr., mayor of Inglewood (2011–present) (Independent)[57]
- Jerry Dyer, mayor of Fresno (2021–present) (Republican)[57]
- Marqueece Harris-Dawson, president of the Los Angeles City Council (2024–present) from the 8th district (2015–present)[57]
- Heather Hutt, Los Angeles city councilmember from the 10th district (2022–present)[57]
- Fred Keeley, mayor of Santa Cruz (2023–present) (co-endorsement with Yee)[57]
- Tim McOsker, Los Angeles city councilmember from the 15th district (2022–present)[57]
- R. Rex Parris, mayor of Lancaster (2008–present) (Republican)[57]
- Curren Price, Los Angeles city councilmember from the 9th district (2013–present)[57]
- Labor unions
- California State United Association[111]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers California State Association[112]
- International Union of Operating Engineers Locals 3[113], 12[114], 39 and 501[57]
- State Building and Construction Trades Council of California[115]
- Teamsters Local 348[57]
- Newspapers
- Political parties
- State legislators
- Nina Turner, former state senator from Ohio's 25th district (2008–2014) (Democratic)[117]
- U.S. representatives
- State legislators
- Gail Pellerin, AD-28 (2022–present)[57]
- Local officials
- Ron Galperin, former city controller of Los Angeles (2013–2022)[57]
- Fred Keeley, mayor of Santa Cruz (2023–present) (co-endorsement with Villaraigosa)[57]
- Lisa Middleton, former mayor of Palm Springs (2021–2022)[57]
- Holly Mitchell, chair pro tempore of Los Angeles County (2020–2021, 2025–present) from the 2nd district (2020–present)[57]
- Aaron Peskin, former member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors from the 3rd district (2001–2009, 2015–2025)[57]
- Raj Salwan, mayor of Fremont (2024–present)[57]
- Individuals
- Ann Ravel, former member of the Federal Electoral Commission (2013–2017)[28]
- Organizations
- U.S. representatives
- Scott Peters, CA-50 (2013–present)[119]
- Juan Vargas, CA-52 (2013–present)[120]
- Statewide officials
- Tina Kotek, governor of Oregon (2023–present)[121]
- State legislators
- Cecilia Aguiar-Curry, AD-04 (2016–present)[122]
- David Alvarez, AD-80 (2020–present)[123]
Bob Archuleta, SD-32 (2018–present)(endorsed Villaraigosa and Becerra after Atkins withdrew)[124]- Catherine Blakespear, SD-38 (2022–present)[123]
- Tasha Boerner, AD-77 (2018–present)[123]
- Susan Eggman, SD-05 (2020–2024)[125]
- Jacqui Irwin, AD-42 (2014–present)[86]
- Christine Kehoe, SD-39 (2004–2012)[126]
- John Laird, SD-17 (2020–present)[122]
- Brian Maienschein, AD-76 (2012–2024)[123]
- Tina McKinnor, AD-61 (2022–present)[124]
- Caroline Menjivar, SD-20 (2022–present)[122]
- Mike McGuire, SD-02 (2024–present)[127]
- Steve Padilla, SD-18 (2022–present)[123]
- Gail Pellerin, AD-28 (2022–present)[124]
- Richard Roth, SD-31 (2012–2024)[122]
- LaShae Sharp-Collins, AD-79 (2024–present)[122]
- Tom Umberg, SD-34 (2018–present)[124]
- Chris Ward, AD-78 (2020–present)[123]
- Akilah Weber, SD-39 (2024–present)[123]
- Scott Wiener, SD-11 (2016–present)[125]
- Local officials
- 8/9 members of the San Diego City Council[d][104]
- Paloma Aguirre, San Diego supervisor from the 1st district (2025–present)[128]
- Todd Gloria, mayor of San Diego (2013–2014, 2020–present)[104]
- Terra Lawson-Remer, San Diego County supervisor from the 3rd district (2021–present)[104]
- Holly Mitchell, Los Angeles County supervisor from the 2nd district (2020–present)[129]
- Cori Schumacher, former Carlsbad city councilor from the 1st district (2016–2021)[130]
- Labor unions
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 569[131]
- Western States Regional Council of Carpenters[132]
- Organizations
- California Legislative LGBTQ Caucus[125]
- LPAC[104]
- San Diego County Young Democrats[133]
- San Diego Stonewall Democrats[134]
- Executive branch officials
- Roberta Achtenberg, former member of the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (2011–2016)[104]
- Hillary Clinton, former U.S. Secretary of State (2009–2013), former U.S. senator from New York (2001–2009), former first lady (1993–2001), and Democratic nominee for president in 2016[135]
- U.S. senators
Barbara Boxer, former U.S. senator from California (1993–2017)[136] (endorsed Villaraigosa after Kounalakis withdrew)[109]
- U.S. representatives
- Nancy Pelosi, CA-11 (1987–present)[137]
Mike Thompson, CA-04 (1999–present)[99] (endorsed Swalwell after Kounalakis withdrew)[138]
- State legislators
- Bill Dodd, SD-03 (2016–2024)[135]
Jacqui Irwin, AD-42 (2014–present)(endorsed Atkins after Kounalakis withdrew)[86]- Evan Low, AD-26 (2014–2024)[104]
- Diane Papan, AD-21 (2022–present)[135]
- Local officials
- Art Agnos, former mayor of San Francisco (1988–1992)[139]
- Kevin McCarty, mayor of Sacramento (2024–present)[135]
- State officials
- Rob Bonta, California Attorney General (2021–present)[22]
Polling
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Chad Bianco (R) |
Steve Hilton (R) |
Eric Swawell (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Tom Steyer (D) |
Xavier Becerra (D) |
Other/ Undecided[e] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270toWin[140] | through December 19, 2025 | February 18, 2026 | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 30.5% | Porter +0.3% |
| Race to the WH[141] | through February 12, 2026 | February 18, 2026 | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 30.5% | Bianco +1.5% |
| RealClearPolitics[142] | September 18, 2025 – January 20, 2026 | February 8, 2026 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 33.0% | Tied |
| Average | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 31.3% | Hilton +0.3% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Xavier Becerra (D) |
Chad Bianco (R) |
Steve Hilton (R) |
Matt Mahan (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Tom Steyer (D) |
Eric Swalwell (D) |
Tony Thurmond (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Betty Yee (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[143] | February 13–14, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 4% | 14% | 17% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2%[g] | 21% |
| Tavern Research (D)[144][A] | February 2–5, 2026 | 1,097 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 6% | 20% | 12% | 2% | 9% | 9% | 10% | –[h] | 3% | –[h] | 4%[h] | 25% |
| EMC Research (D)[145][B] | January 29 – February 4, 2026 | 1,400 (V) | – | 6% | 21% | 17% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 18% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2%[i] | 4% |
| RBI Strategies & Research (D)[146][C] | January 25–29, 2026 | – (LV) | – | 4% | 15% | 16% | 3% | 13% | 8% | 14% | 2% | 3% | – | – | 23% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[147][D] | January 20–21, 2026 | 1,001 (V) | – | 6% | 18% | 17% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 1% | 2% | – | – | 17% |
| David Binder Research (D)[148][E] | January 17–20, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 5% | 17% | 14% | – | 11% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3%[j] | 25% |
| CivicLens Research[149] | December 14–16, 2025 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 1% | 14% | 18% | – | 9% | 7% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3%[k] | 31% |
| FM3 Research (D)[150][151] | November 30 – December 7, 2025 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 3% | 17% | 18% | – | 13% | 6% | 17% | 1% | 3% | 1% | – | 20% |
| Emerson College[152] | December 1–2, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 4% | 13% | 12% | – | 11% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5%[l] | 31% |
| Lake Research Partners (D)[153][F] | November 17–20, 2025 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 6% | 10% | 17% | – | 15% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 1%[m] | 22% |
| PPIC[154] | November 13–19, 2025 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 14% | 10% | 14% | – | 21% | – | – | 2% | 8% | 7% | 19%[n] | 5% |
| Tavern Research (D)[155][A] | October 27–30, 2025 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 9% | 16% | 12% | – | 15% | – | – | 2% | 5% | 3% | 9%[o] | 29% |
| EMC Research (D)[156][G] | October 22–26, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 9% | 14% | 20% | – | 16% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 16%[p] | |
| Emerson College[157] | October 20–21, 2025 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.19% | 5% | 11% | 16% | – | 15% | – | – | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4%[q] | 39% |
| Bold Decision[158] | October 16–21, 2025 | 509 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 8% | 14% | 13% | – | 12% | 7% | – | 1% | 7% | 4% | 4%[r] | 29% |
| Emerson College[159] | April 12–14, 2025 | 899 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 3% | 4% | – | – | 12% | – | – | 2% | 5% | 3% | 17%[s] | 54% |
with Rick Caruso
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Xavier Becerra (D) |
Chad Bianco (R) |
Rick Caruso (D) |
Steve Hilton (R) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Betty Yee (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS[160][H] | October 20–27, 2025 | 8141 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 8% | 13% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 44% |
| Emerson College[161] | September 15–16, 2025 | 1000 (RV) | ± 3% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 10%[t] | 38% |
| Berkeley IGS[162][H] | August 11–17, 2025 | 4950 (RV) | ± 1.5% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 9%[u] | 38% |
| True Dot/ Politico[163] |
July 28–August 12, 2025 | 875 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 9% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 21% | 9% | 6% | 15%[v] | 9% |
| Emerson College[164] | August 4–5, 2025 | 1000 (RV) | ± 3% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 13%[w] | 38% |
with Alex Padilla
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Xavier Becerra (D) |
Chad Bianco (R) |
Rick Caruso (D) |
Steve Hilton (R) |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Betty Yee (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[161] | September 15–16, 2025 | 1000 (RV) | ± 3% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 9%[x] | 36% |
with Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Xavier Becerra (D) |
Chad Bianco (R) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Eleni Kounalakis (D) |
Kyle Langford (R) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[159] | April 12–14, 2025 | 911 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 2% | 4% | 31% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 10%[y] | 39% |
with John Cox, Lanhee Chen and Rob Bonta
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Toni Atkins (D) |
Xavier Becerra (D) |
Rob Bonta (D) |
Lanhee Chen (R) |
John Cox (R) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Eleni Kounalakis (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Tony Thurmond (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Betty Yee (D) |
Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitol Weekly[165] | February 3–7, 2025 | 692 (RV) | – | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 21% | 23% | 2% | 16% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 10%[z] |
| 1073[aa] | 3% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 21% | – | 5% | 26% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 12%[ab] |
with Brian Dahle
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Toni Atkins (D) |
Xavier Becerra (D) |
Chad Bianco (R) |
Brian Dahle (R) |
Steve Hilton (R) |
Eleni Kounalakis (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Tony Thurmond (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Betty Yee (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC/CSU Long Beach/ Cal Poly Pomona[166] |
September 12–25, 2024 | 1,685 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 9%[ac] | 50% |
| Tulchin Research (D)[167][I] | August 8–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | – | – | – | 13% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 7% | – | 39% |
with Steve Garvey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Toni Atkins (D) |
Xavier Becerra (D) |
Chad Bianco (R) |
Steve Garvey (R) |
Eleni Kounalakis (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Tony Thurmond (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Betty Yee (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breakthrough Campaigns[168][J] | November 22–26, 2024 | 1,228 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 8% | 21% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 23%[ad] | 12% |
| 3% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 1%[ae] | 11% |
"Democratic Primary Poll"[af]
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[f] |
Margin of error |
Toni Atkins (D) |
Stephen Cloobeck (D) |
Kamala Harris (D) |
Eleni Kounalakis (D) |
Katie Porter (D) |
Tony Thurmond (D) |
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) |
Betty Yee (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[169][K] | February 10–11, 2025 | 469 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 3% | 1% | 57% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3%[ag] | 17% |
| 3% | 3% | – | 5% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 9%[ah] | 45% |
Debates
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Democratic | Republican | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant I Invited W Withdrawn A Absent N Not invited |
||||||||||||||||
| Becerra | Mahan | Steyer | Thurmond | Villaraigosa | Yee | Swalwell | Porter | Atkins | Kounalakis | Hilton | Bianco | |||||
| 1 | Sep. 29, 2024 |
NUHW Los Angeles Times AP, Politico |
Laurel Rosenhall Lisa Matthews Melanie Mason |
YouTube | A | A | A | P | A | P | A | A | P | P | A | A |
| 2 | Feb. 3, 2026 |
Black Action Alliance KTVU FOX 2 KTTV FOX 11 |
Greg Lee Andre Senior Marla Tellez |
Youtube | P | P | P | P | P | P | I[ai] | I | W | W | P | I |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[170] | Solid D | September 11, 2025 |
| Inside Elections[171] | Solid D | August 28, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[172] | Safe D | September 4, 2025 |
| Race to the WH[173] | Safe D | December 7, 2025 |
See also
Notes
- ^ Robinson is a member of both the Peace and Freedom Party and the Party for Socialism and Liberation.
- ^ Allen initially announced his bid as a member of the American Independent Party.[51]
- ^ Romero was a Democrat throughout her tenure before registering as a Republican in 2024.
- ^ When the article was published, San Diego had 8 city councilors, all 8 of whom endorsed Atkins. A ninth councilor was sworn in after the 2024 election.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Ian Calderon (D) and "Someone else" with 1%; John Slavett (R) with 0%
- ^ a b c "All other candidates (Yee, Calderon, Thurmond)" and "Other" with 2%
- ^ Butch Ware (G) with 2%; Ian Calderon (D) with 0%
- ^ Leo Zacky (R) and "Someone else" with 1%; Ian Calderon (D) and Jon Slavet (R) with <1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" and "Not planning to vote" with 2%; Ian Calderon (D) with 1%
- ^ Ian Calderon (D) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%; Ian Calderon (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), Kyle Langford (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), Jimmy Parker (R), and Butch Ware (G) with 1%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Leo Zacky (R) with <1%
- ^ Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Ian Calderon (D) with 1%, "Other" with 7%
- ^ Butch Ware (G) at 2%; Ian Calderon (D) at 1%; "Someone else" with 13%
- ^ Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Ian Calderon (D) with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Ian Calderon (D) and Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 2%
- ^ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 3%; Toni Atkins (D) and Kyle Langford (R) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Brandon Jones (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Sharifah Hardie (R), Butch Ware (G), Michael Younger (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with <1%; "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Toni Atkins (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), Kyle Langford (R), Jimmy Parker (R), Tony Thurmond (D) and Butch Ware (G) with 1%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Daniel Mercuri (R) and Leo Zacky (R) with <.5%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Brian Dahle (R) and Richard Grenell (R) with 2%; Toni Atkins (D) and Tony Thurmond (D) with 1%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with <1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 7%; Toni Atkins (D) with 4%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Tony Thurmond (D) with 2%
- ^ Eleni Kounalakis (D) with 3%; Toni Atkins (D) and Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 2%; Tony Thurmond (D) with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Tony Thurmond (D), Toni Atkins (D), Stephen Cloobeck (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Daniel Mercuri (R), Kyle Langford (R) and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Brandon Jones (R), Leo Zacky (R) and Butch Ware (G) with <.5%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Betty Yee (D), Stephen Cloobeck (D), Toni Atkins (D), Tony Thurmond (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Daniel Mercuri (R), Butch Ware (G), Michael Younger (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with <.5%
- ^ Rick Caruso (D) with 8%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
- ^ Total says 1073, but numbers add up to 1071
- ^ Rick Caruso (D) with 8%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 4%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
- ^ Rob Bonta (D) with 4%; Rick Caruso (D) with 3%; Lanhee Chen (R) with 2%
- ^ Brian Dahle (R) with 9%; Rob Bonta (D) with 6%; Rick Caruso with 5%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 3%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
- ^ Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 1%
- ^ Survey asked only Democratic voters. In California, all candidates run on the same ballot in a "blanket primary."
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Michael Younger (D) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Michael Younger (D) with 1%
- ^ Did not attend due to the January–February 2026 United States federal government shutdown
Partisan and media clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Becerra's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Swalwell's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 101, which opposes Mahan
- ^ Poll sponsored by Porter's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by California Environmental Voters
- ^ Poll sponsored by Thurmond's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by an unnamed group supporting Swalwell's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Los Angeles Times
- ^ Poll sponsored by Villaraigosa's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Woman Up
- ^ Poll sponsored by Inside California Politics and The Hill
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Thurmond has been endorsed by several former and current state lawmakers and U.S. Rep. Laura Friedman.
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External links
Official campaign websites
- Ethan Agarwal (D) for Governor
- Ché Ahn (R) for Governor
- Xavier Becerra (D) for Governor
- Chad Bianco (R) for Governor
- Sophia Brink (R) for Governor
- Carolina Buhler (D) for Governor
- Ian Calderon (D) for Governor
- Derek Grasty for Governor
- Sharifah Hardie (R) for Governor
- Steve Hilton (R) for Governor
- Zoltan Istvan (D) for Governor
- Brandon Jones (R) for Governor
- Matt Mahan (D) for Governor
- Daniel Mercuri (R) for Governor
- Ethan Penner (I) for Governor
- Thunder Parley (D) for Governor
- Katie Porter (D) for Governor
- Raji Rab (D) for Governor
- Ramsey Robinson (PSL) for Governor
- Tom Steyer (D) for Governor
- Eric Swalwell (D) for Governor
- Nicholas Thompson (L) for Governor
- Tony Thurmond (D) for Governor
- Ryan Tillman (I) for Governor
- Antionio Villaraigosa (D) for Governor
- Butch Ware (G) for Governor
- Betty Yee (D) for Governor
- Michael Younger (D) for Governor
- Leo Zacky (R) for Governor
